Comments on: Life Expectancy 101

By: Social Security Roundup 2 Feb 2011 | POWIP

Social Security Roundup 2 Feb 2011 | POWIP — Wed, 02 Feb 2011 20:33:17 +0000

[...] Alas, John Boehner showed some weakness re: retirement age, but it’s more that he thought he shouldn’t have favored a particular solution too early on in the process. [Here's something I posted about life expectancy earlier. And if you want to know how it's calculated....] [...]

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By: Charles Pergiel

Charles Pergiel — Thu, 19 Nov 2009 00:43:10 +0000

At last! Someone who might know something about death rates!

I was looking into death rates not too long ago and I came across this page of statistics on the CIA web site.

The numbers are a little confusing. For instance:

#1 is Swaziland, with a death rate of 30.35. That translates to a life expectancy of roughly 33 years (1000/30.35). I can understand that. There is a very high likelihood of dying there.

#222 is United Arab Emirates with a rate of 2.16, which translates to a life expectancy of 463 years, which is obviously wrong.

From this simple calculation, it is unlikely that any country should have a death rate below 12 or 13, but most of the countries on this list fall into this category.

So either old people from all over the world are emigrating to Swaziland to die, or every woman of childbearing age is giving birth to quadruplets every year, or I am missing something.

Any ideas?

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By: meep

meep — Wed, 18 Nov 2009 22:30:06 +0000

Okay, look, I’m as Catholic as the next POWIP blogger [well, some of us], and I had a great time discussing in RCIA whether mothers have stretch marks in heaven, but I AM NOT MIXING ACTUARYING AND CATHOLICISM!

[yet]

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By: Enoch_Root

Enoch_Root — Tue, 17 Nov 2009 21:23:44 +0000

me too – me too.

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By: Mr. Bingley

Mr. Bingley — Tue, 17 Nov 2009 20:23:49 +0000

I’m sad to say I’ve gone over that 17% number a few too many times, especially during college…

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By: Enoch_Root

Enoch_Root — Tue, 17 Nov 2009 20:08:52 +0000

agreed – I am saying that on average 8% of each person may be corrupted as a matter of course. Some 1%, and at the other end of the spectrum 17% – anyway, it is some degree of 1/12th

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By: Mr. Bingley

Mr. Bingley — Tue, 17 Nov 2009 17:23:29 +0000

no, he said ‘get behind me, satan’

the point is that if peter, who actually walked along side the Lord, could so easily and quickly deny him when the going got tough, regardless of his later redemption and valiant struggles in His name, well, we all have corruption and sin in our core and can fall prey to it, can give in to it.

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By: Meep

Meep — Tue, 17 Nov 2009 16:48:12 +0000

To make a linkage to financial modeling, I think one will see that you will get different amounts of corruption displayed depending on the system.

In finance, often you can infer various correlations between values… until catastrophe, at which point all correlations go to 1 or -1. I think human corruption works similarly. You can have some low level of inherent corruption bubbling around, under tight rein, and then you can have Chicago.

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By: Enoch_Root

Enoch_Root — Tue, 17 Nov 2009 16:22:14 +0000

could you infer Data?

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By: Enoch_Root

Enoch_Root — Tue, 17 Nov 2009 16:21:39 +0000

did Christ say about Peter “it would be better that he not be born”?

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