POWIP Piece of Work In Progress

27Jul/111

Rasmussen: Consumer Confidence Falls to New 2 Year Low and other Polls

Sure you do, champ; sure you do...

More of the hopey-changey-goodness that is RecoverySummer™ Part Deux :

Consumer confidence has fallen to a new two-year low while investor confidence continues to hover just above the lowest levels of 2011.

The Rasmussen Consumer Index, which measures the economic confidence of consumers on a daily basis, fell four points on Wednesday to 63.7. That’s down eight points from a week ago, down nine from a month ago and down ten from three months ago. Confidence is now just nine points above the post-9/11 low reached in March 2009.

Just 15% of the nation’s adults believe the U.S. economy is getting better these days, while 66% believe it's getting worse. Those numbers reflect a far more pessimistic outlook than was found at the beginning of the year. The first update in 2011 showed that 30% believed the economy was better and 45% thought the opposite.

Lets see, how about we check out the 2012 Generic election ballot:

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows the generic Republican with 48% of the vote, tying the highest level of support earned by either candidate to date. The president picks up 42% support. Three percent (3%) like some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

And for good measure, how about the Presidential Tracking Poll:

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Wednesday shows that 25% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -17 (see trends).

That last one isn't as bad as it's been in the past...But overall, do you think there's any correlation between these numbers? Well, anyone who relies on data, and realizes that figures never lie, but liars figure, would probably be inclined to. Show these links to the malcontents on the professional left, though, and all you'll here is something like; "Sure, but that's only because it's OberGruppenFuhrer McPollster Scott Rasmussen!11!1! (eleventy)"

Which, you know, is factual, but not such a convincing rebuttal in and of itself.

What's your opinion?

[Cross posted at The Conservatory]

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5Apr/1025

Gallup nukes the “predominantly white, racist” tea-partier meme

With a poll released this morning that examines the demographics of the group.   And considering that the Obamites have desperately attempted to portray Tea-Partiers as a bunch of unemployed, malcontent, bitter, clinging, hick-tard haters, and homophobic, misogynistic, knuckle-dragging RAAAAAAACISTS!, the results are all that much more surprising; especially when compared to the overarching demographics of the nation in general.

You know, the very diversity and multi-culti balance that MUST! be somehow exhibited by every facet of our society, and especially by groups that will be showcased as props by politicians who profess the belief that it somehow enhances the absolute moral authority of the connivance scam flim-flam hokey-doke point they are making at that moment.

So without further ado, I present for the edification of the, "I don't see anyone who looks like me up there!", identity politics card playing set, the central results of said poll.   A study conducted by the bastion of left-wing metaphysical certitude Gallup; and not the heinous and assuredly biased wingery-WINGERED! crpto-nazi SKKKott RasmuSSen...

Damn the truth! Full OUTRAGE! ahead

Notice how in just about every category the Tea-Party folks match the country-wide demographics.  There are small, notable exceptions.  One is that it does seem like there are less black folks in the movement than nationwide, but only about by half; and indeed that is no surprise since upwards of 90 percent of that same group voted for Obama in the general election.  Another is that there are actually less unemployed that self identify with the movement than there are nationally, shattering another talking point and bit of pipe-dreaming by the far left; that when employment picks up there will be less folks attending these rallies.
I hope that Axelrod, Plouffe et al aren't planning on betting the farm on that last one...

Make sure you read all of the poll comparisons to taste the sweet, sweet, All-American goodness.

Ace, in high snark form, deliciously askes the question; " If a poll falls in the forest without reinforcing 'the Narrative' will anyone hear it?"  And then follows it up with;

For purposes of comparison, it's more white than a Kwanzaa Greeting Card Salesman Convention, but much less white than the all-white country club known as "The MSNBC Anchor Team."

That.is.snark-o-licious.

Cap'n Ed also has an interesting post on the same poll, and as a bonus throws in results of another that indicates more Americans would vote for a candidate that espouses the Tea-Party principles of less government/less spending and job creation than the sooper-groovy, almost messianic, Conniver-in-chief.

Now That's ! change I can believe in...

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14Dec/093

More! from the “picture is worth a thousand words” department

'Nuff Said!

'Nuff Said!

This sign, recently seen in Colorado speaks volumes on the public's discontent with Obama across the nation.  But, more importantly-at least for some folks-dows the acceptance of the signage by the occupants of the homeless camp mean that they are in fact "unconscious racists"?  Or, are they just tacitly accepting of racism?  And I don't recall this kind of thing ever happening to JFK or FDR, and while probably racist to do so, is it fair that Obama be taken to task, that  he be made to "own" the economy that he's taken "command and control" over?

Or does it just mean that the narrative construct that is Barack Obama has finally jumped the shark?  Based on an experience I had over the weekend in deep blue Long Island, I'm thinking so; but more on that later.

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1Dec/090

Change! you can believe in.

Some interesting statistics from the folks that get paid to wet their fingers and get a sense of from which direction the winds of public opinion are blowing.  I'm talking, of course, about Rasmussen reports; and here are some of today's takes:

The lastest polls on the partisan affiliation of the public shows the percentage of people calling themselves "Democrats" has declined by 7% during 2009.  The current breakdown, in percentage, is 36/33/31 (Dem/Rep/Independant).  I wonder how the folks at the DNC are diggin' that "change"?  Oh, and as a bonus, Scotty R. reminds us:

Keep in mind that figures reported in this article are for all adults, not likely voters. Republicans are a bit more likely to participate in elections than Democrats.

Closely related to this analysis is the matter of just who does the public place their confidence in to handle the issues facing our nation:

Voters remain more confident in Republicans than in Democrats this month on virtually all of the key electoral issues regularly tracked by Rasmussen Reports. But that confidence is not quite as strong as a month ago when the GOP led on all 10 [categories].

Republicans narrowly (within 10 points)  inspire more confidence in the public on the issues of Health Care, Iraq, Abortion, Immigration, and Government ethics.  And regarding National Security, Taxes, and the economy they enjoy a double-digit margin of trust over the Democrats.  I'm no expert, but in 10 short months the Democrats have squandered all of the public goodwill they have spent years, screaming "I Blame Booooooosh!", to acquire.

Next, lets check out how Americans are disposed towards all of the Smart! governance these days.  Surprise!

Seventy-one percent (71%) of voters nationwide say they’re at least somewhat angry about the current policies of the federal government. That figure includes 46% who are Very Angry.

The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that only 27% are not angry about the government's policies, including 10% who are Not at All Angry.

Oh, and that figure's up 5 points since September.  That doesn't bode to well for the Brilliant! idea of the government taking over a substantial portion of the economy...

Finally, there's old faithful, the Daily Presidential tracking poll.  Today, 47% of those polled at least somewhat approve of Mr. Obama's performance; and the approval index stands at -13.

Some interesting tidbits, eh?  I suggest you bookmark Rasmussen's site, since he's got a demonstrated track record as the most accurate pollster in the business.

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20Nov/0936

The Renaissance of Sarah Palin.

sistah wasilla

TV ratings for November 18, 2009; courtesy of the Drudge Report. (click to enlarge)

Sarah Palin sure seems to be gathering steam lately, and there’s strong evidence that the public is giving her a second look; perhaps the realization of Mr. Obama’s shortcomings is accentuating her positives more than any negatives that the lamestream media tries to keep the public’s attention focused on.  Efforts that have achieved a whole new level of transparent desperation lately, with MSNBC reporters attending Palin book signing events armed with talking points to challenge her many fans, and Chris “Tingle” Matthews obsessing about the “monochromatic” nature of ‘Cuda’s fans.  I guess Chris “Tingle” needed to find a new angle, since lately the race card is looking a bit dog-eared from overplaying it; attempting to use it against anyone opposing the President’s political agenda.
 

The evidence of this resurgence is manifold.  To begin with, her new book, “Going Rogue: An American Life”, sold 300,000 copies on the first day it was released!  I guess it won’t be so hard after all to reach the 400,000 copies sold break even point, eh?  And then there are the TV ratings that spike when she’s on interview programs.  Not only did her interview last night propel Hannity’s ratings past O’Reilly's usual high metric, but her recent appearance on Chewbacca’s Michelle Obama’s friend Thulsa Doom’s Oprah Winfrey’s program registered the largest audience that show has drawn in years!
 

But a real measure of the change in public perception of Palin is reflected in a recent Fox news poll where her favorables were found to be 47/42 (favorable/unfavorable opinion):

Despite being characterized by many as a divisive force in her party and the nation, Americans are much more likely to give Palin a positive rating (47 percent favorable) than another prominent female leader — Speaker of the House Nancy Pelosi (28 percent favorable). Moreover, about six in 10 Americans (61 percent) think Palin has been treated unfairly by the press, according to the latest Fox News poll…

Among self-identified Republicans in the survey, Palin gets the highest favorable ratings (70 percent) amid a group of other possible contenders for the GOP nomination, including Mike Huckabee (63 percent), Mitt Romney (60 percent) and Newt Gingrich (58 percent). Palin’s favorable score among all voters is 47 percent, up nine percentage points over last July’s reading of 38 percent…

President Obama recently stated that he “probably won’t” read Sarah Palin’s new book. But his possible opponent in the 2012 elections trails him in personal favorability by only seven points (54 percent to 47 percent). Among the critical segment of independent voters, they are virtually even (Obama at 50 percent; Palin at 49 percent).

That last part is especially topical and should concern the President, considering how his poll numbers are fading across the board.  Of course, there is the Rasmussen daily Presidential tracking poll and approval index, which today stand at 46% of respondents at least somewhat approving of Obama’s overall performance, and an approval index rating of -14.  And less those numbers be dismissed as wingnut fantasy, Quinnipiac reports an overall policy approval rating of 46%-although a higher number of respondents “like” the President, Gallup has him hovering around 50%, John Zogby has Obama’s popularity holding steady at 49% as does Public Policy Polling, and finishing off this round robin of popularity polling is Fox, who show the POTUS having the same favorability rating as Rasmussen-46%.

That’s a whole lot of “below 50%” going on…
 

What should be of larger concern to President Obama is the growing dissatisfaction with his performance among self identified “independents”; a 34/51 split (overall approval/disapproval).  Perhaps more troubling still is a Zogby poll which reports that independents think that the Bush administration was more transparent than the much heralded, celebrated, most Ethical!, Honest!, Brilliant!, Judicious!, and Transparent! Administration-EVAH!  And the Democrats as a party need to recognize that Obama’s coat-tails work in reverse also, as Rethugs! now lead in generic congressional balloting; an advantage that Republicans in the modern era have never enjoyed, not even in 1994 when they were swept in to power in the House of Representatives.
 

None of this data means that any electoral success  is “in the bag” for Sarah Palin, quite the opposite instead since the legacy media, and the fightin’ nutroots, will almost certainly strive to cement her public image as being a divisive figure primarily through the bitter, deranged, openly misogynistic, acrimonious arguments, and belittling attacks that figures such as Chris “Tingle”, Olbermann, Maddow and other “gatekeepers” of information will subject the public and Sarah Palin to.  And, wittingly or otherwise, there will be alleged conservatives “wizards of smart”, such as the Davids-Brooks and Frum, that will aid them in this endeavour by using what limited sway they have in Republican circles to  gainsay her at every opportunity; publicly supporting the elitist arguments that she is just a rube, hicktard, chillbilly that’s bad for the party in general and who will be unable to attract moderates.  It’s been more than 30 years since I’ve heard this kind of rhetoric; the same sorts of criticisms were leveled at Reagan, the only difference being the slur substitution of doddering-avuncular-doofus for rube-hicktard-chillbilly.  And that’s why it is so clear to me that the far left is reacting to what they rightly perceive as an existential threat to all the sway they’ve worked to regain; especially over the last 4 to 6 years. 
 

The far left Democrats fear that, just as with Reagan, Sarah Palin’s cheery optimism, can-do attitude, and dedication to the traditional American ideals of national exceptionalism and individualism will resonate in a way that the elitist notions of our “betters” deciding what’s good for us never will; and fear that combined with a charisma that far exceeds the media enabled “cool” of Obama, will make for an unstoppable juggernaut.  Indeed, based pretty much solely on her charisma and  personal appeal the public is willing to give her another serious look; a development that drives liberals in the legacy media, as well as a few conservatives, to resort to doing whatever it takes to eliminate her viability as a candidate.  This dedication to the destruction of her potential political career is revealed by the maniacal response by some journalists and commentators, such as Ana Marie Cox’s decision to not let a silly detail, you know, like actually reading the entire book get in the way of her panning of it; a suspicion some have about Rod Dreher as well.  Or consider that the Associated Press assigned 11 reporters to “fact check” Palin’s book; an astonishing development on it’s face when you realize that to this day they have assigned none to fact check either of Obama’s books-either now or when he was an unknown, un-vetted, candidate who essentially came out of nowhere.  As if this doesn’t reveal sufficient and unfair bias on it’s face, as Mark Steyn wryly observes, all this squad of muckrakers uncovered were 6 minor, inconsequential errors, and between them produced a 695 word story.
 

What none of the folks in any of these organizations realize is that they are actually helping Palin through their deranged efforts.  Just as during the 2008 campaign, the public can tell that many legacy media outlets, and of course the nutroot blogs, are biased against her; indeed, the Fox poll showed that 6 out of 10 respondents recognized this biased and agenda driven reportage.  Add to this the public’s perception of the legacy media’s liberal bias, and the President’s continued bungling, dithering, and dedication to his far left base and their agenda, and you have a perfect storm that could possibly result in Palin’s favorable perception by the public exceeding the President’s;  resulting in a monumental sense of delicious irony, in the literary sense, writ large as well as a generous helping of schadenfreude for the targets of the left’s coordinated political attacks.
 

All of their efforts might just aid in Sarah Palin’s resurgence and might just propel her solidly into history too; not the dustbin though, but the annals instead, as perhaps the first woman to be elected President of the United States.

UPDATE: Dan Riehl weighs in on Sarah Palin 2.0, noting that in the public's eye she has what amounts to a fresh slate and that what happened in the past is of less importance than what happens going forward.  Oh, and he also mentions perhaps her most deranged and obsessive critic-RawMuslglutes...

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29Oct/0914

Hope-n-Change futures are down across the board

When asked how all that hope-n-change is working out, the answers that Americans are giving should give Mr. Obama and Democratic leadership on Capitol Hill cause for concern.  In fact according to the latest WSJ/NBC poll, for the first time in the Obama presidency, a majority of Americans say the US is headed down the wrong track. The wrong track/right track split is 52/36, and the same poll indicates that an overwhelming majority of 80 % of the public is at least somewhat dissatisfied with the state of the economy.

Another poll, conducted by Gallup/USA Today, which compares fundamental attitude and issue questions asked a year ago to the same asked recently, clearly shows erosion of both support and confidence in the President.  For example, in November 2008 the question of, "Will the country be better of 3 to 4 years from now", the split was 65/25 (better/worse), but the same question recently split 58/37 (better/worse).  When asked about Obama's policy agenda, in November 2008 the responses split 43/45 (Liberal/Moderate) while recently the split was 54/34 (Liberal/Moderate).  These are just a couple of highlights of the questions and I encourage you to check out the interactive data for the suprising shifts in the publics attitudes, especially the priorities and the policy expectations.  But based on the results it's becoming clearer that the public perception of Obama 1 year ago is vastly different from the President the public has come to know.  In fact, to use the formula of the President himself, the public thinking is, "This is not the Obama we thought we elected."

And of course, what would a poll results post be without citing the Rasmussen daily Presidential tracking poll.  Overall his approval/disapproval is at 48/52; but the Presidential approval index, at -11 today, has been negative since the beginning of the summer and shows no outward sign of reversing.

 I'll bet if he announced tomorrow that he was scrapping the public option and concentrating on a truly bi-partisan Health reform bill that focused on curtailing medicare fraud, tort reform, and did away with the restrictions on insurance companies working across state lines Mr. Baucus could write a bill that would pass the Senate in a week.  If he did this, sent McChrystal his requested reinforcements, and took a strong stance with Iran, the Presidents numbers would probably increase by 15 points in what seemed like overnight!  I hope that he has the good sense to realize what's good for the country and his popularity, and that he has the will to make it so!

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